Carrying-cost calculator

Find out what a barrel costs you to keep.

Rickhouses are fuller than they have ever been and bulk prices are down. Enter a lot below to see the yearly cost of keeping it, the price it would have to reach later to beat a sale now, and how both compare with what the barrels cost you. Barrel tax is only counted in states that charge it.

About this lot

$

Starting figure based on age. Replace it with a real quote if you have one.

$

Enter what the barrel cost you to buy or fill. It is used only to show profit or loss.

Where the barrels sit

Bond-funded warehouses do not get the HB 5 reduction. They keep paying the whole barrel tax until 2043.

Your rates

$

Cost of capital is the return that cash would make if it were not sitting in barrels. Use 8% for a typical balanced fund, your loan rate if the barrels are financed, or 0% to see cash costs alone.

How much you expect the price of a barrel to move each year. Prices have been dropping lately, so run it at 0% as well.

$

Annual cost of holding

$0

each year · $0 a barrel · $0 a month

$0 in cash costs (storage, insurance, tax)$0 in cost of capital at 8%

Total over the next 4 years

$0

Share of what the lot is worth now

0%

Break-even

Run the numbers

If you sell now

$0

Net of commission and selling costs

If you hold 4 yr

$0

Expected price minus holding and selling costs

Price to break even

$0

What each barrel must fetch in 4 years to equal a sale today

What makes up the cost

Yearly cost of one barrel, split by type

Evaporation over the same years

Liquid left in the barrel next to the running holding cost

Year by year

Figures are for one barrel except where marked

YearAgeStorage InsuranceBarrel taxCost of capital TotalCumulativeVol. left

Where the default figures come from

Each starting figure is taken from a published source and you can change any of them. A figure tagged est is an estimate borrowed from a related market or filled in between known points, because reliable public numbers for US bulk bourbon are hard to find.

Barrel tax in Kentucky

The Kentucky Distillers' Association reports $75 million in barrel tax paid in 2025 on roughly $10 billion of assessed barrels, which works out to a combined rate near 0.75%. HB 5 winds the tax down under KRS 132.140: 96% of value is taxable in 2026 and none by 2043. A barrel younger than two years counts as goods in process and is charged the state rate alone, $0.05 on every $100.

Tennessee, Indiana and elsewhere

Aging whiskey barrels have been exempt from property tax in Tennessee since 2018 (Tenn. Code § 67-5-216(c)). We found no comparable tax in Indiana. As far as we can confirm, Kentucky is the one state that charges it.

Evaporation

The model loses 10% in the first year, 4% a year up to year nine and 3% a year after that. Those rates are credited to Harlen Wheatley, master distiller at Buffalo Trace, as reported by Columbus Bourbon, and they line up with James Beam Institute research. Floor level moves the rate about two points up or down (Kentucky Spirits Authority). The chart is for information only. A bulk barrel sells at its real age and fill level, so the loss is already in the price and the model does not subtract it a second time.

Storage and cost of capital

Large bonded warehouses charge somewhere between $24 and $60 a barrel each year. For cost of capital we start at 8%, close to the long-run return of a mixed stock and bond portfolio (around 8.8% since 1926 in Vanguard model portfolios). A pure stock index fund has returned closer to 10% (Investopedia). Enter your loan rate if the barrels are financed. Lenders are cautious right now: Bloomberg reported a steep fall in barrel collateral values in July 2026.

What a barrel is worth est

A newly filled barrel is priced around $450, not far above what it costs to make. The Wall Street Journal reported an asking price of $900 for a two-year lot early in 2025, and the bulk market has dropped about 40% since then. Prices at four, six and eight years are our own estimates between those points, so enter a real quote when you have one.

Your cost

Money already spent on a barrel cannot be recovered by waiting, so it plays no part in the hold or sell result. It does set your profit, which is why the model shows a gain or loss for each option once you enter it.

Selling costs est

The 10% to 15% commission range is taken from UK cask brokerage as described by Rare Whisky 101. Nobody publishes commission rates for US bulk bourbon. A re-gauge has to be done by the bonded warehouse itself. LYQD Exchange explains its certified measurement rules.

Use this calculator for planning. It is not legal, tax or investment advice. County tax rates in Kentucky differ, so check your own assessment with the county PVA office and with your accountant.

With OSDC

Want this done on your actual lots?

The calculator on this page uses averages for a single lot. For clients, OSDC applies it lot by lot using real fill dates, warehouses and rates, and keeps it up to date as barrels are sold.